Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (36.2% vs 35.8%). Hughes wins 33.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Hayes 42.7% (+0.4%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 52.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 53.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 51.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Hughes
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
31.9% (91)
+4.9%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
64.3% (14)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
0.0% (1)
+33.3%
On power play, Hayes has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Hughes shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Hughes
Hayes
Home
35.1% (148)
30.6% (49)
Away
37.4% (131)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Hughes
Hayes
P1
43.0%
22.9%
P2
28.7%
40.0%
P3
35.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
28.6%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%