Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +19.8% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Hayes 56.3% (-19.8%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 74.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 84.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 70.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Hughes
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
56.6% (724)
-21.0%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
57.0% (79)
-7.0%
On even strength, Hayes has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Hughes
Hayes
Home
38.4% (198)
58.0% (405)
Away
35.3% (119)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Hughes
Hayes
P1
44.3%
54.7%
P2
34.2%
55.7%
P3
34.0%
60.2%
Final 5 min
40.4%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%