Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.7% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Barzal 46.9% (-11.7%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 53.8%
Defensive zone
Barzal 60.5%
Neutral zone
Barzal 54.5%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Hughes
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
46.6% (483)
-12.1%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
40.9% (22)
+2.0%
On even strength, Barzal has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Hughes is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Hughes shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Hughes
Barzal
Home
32.6% (187)
49.6% (242)
Away
36.7% (166)
43.3% (263)
By Period
Hughes
Barzal
P1
33.9%
42.4%
P2
34.2%
49.5%
P3
36.5%
47.7%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
29.7%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%