Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Barzal 46.3% (-5.8%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 72.7%
Defensive zone
Barzal 70.3%
Neutral zone
Barzal 58.1%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Hughes
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
43.0% (114)
-7.4%
On even strength, Barzal has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Hughes shoots left. Barzal is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Home / Away
Hughes
Barzal
Home
38.4% (198)
35.8% (53)
Away
35.3% (119)
49.2% (61)
By Period
Hughes
Barzal
P1
44.3%
44.2%
P2
34.2%
38.5%
P3
34.0%
46.9%
Final 5 min
40.4%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.0%