Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Barzal 47.4% (-4.7%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 65.2%
Defensive zone
Barzal 53.9%
Neutral zone
Barzal 56.3%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Hughes
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
42.3% (52)
-4.4%
On even strength, Barzal has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Hughes is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Hughes shoots left. Barzal is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Hughes
Barzal
Home
36.6% (314)
28.0% (25)
Away
38.5% (353)
55.6% (27)
By Period
Hughes
Barzal
P1
36.4%
47.4%
P2
35.6%
45.8%
P3
41.8%
22.2%
Final 5 min
36.4%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.3%