Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Dowd 49.5% (-15.1%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 71.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 88.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Hughes
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
35.1% (151)
53.4% (485)
-18.3%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
0.0% (2)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
39.8% (186)
-6.5%
On even strength, Dowd has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Hughes is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Hughes shoots left. Dowd is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Home / Away
Hughes
Dowd
Home
32.4% (74)
48.5% (307)
Away
36.0% (89)
50.3% (366)
By Period
Hughes
Dowd
P1
38.8%
50.7%
P2
27.6%
49.1%
P3
36.8%
49.6%
Final 5 min
29.6%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
34.4%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%