Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 41.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Dowd 49.1% (-12.8%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 81.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 91.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 50.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Hughes
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
51.7% (644)
-14.9%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
0.0% (2)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
41.6% (221)
-8.3%
On even strength, Dowd has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Hughes is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Hughes shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Hughes
Dowd
Home
35.1% (148)
48.6% (451)
Away
37.4% (131)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Hughes
Dowd
P1
43.0%
49.1%
P2
28.7%
47.3%
P3
35.2%
51.4%
Final 5 min
28.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%