Scouting Report
Jack Hughes holds a +34.6% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Cates 46.7% (+34.6%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 70.1%
Defensive zone
Cates 57.1%
Neutral zone
Hughes 50.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Hughes
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
0.0% (6)
+34.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
0.0% (1)
+25.0%
On even strength, Hughes has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Hughes shoots left. Cates is 0.0% vs left-shot opponents (3).
Home / Away
Hughes
Cates
Home
32.6% (187)
0.0% (5)
Away
36.7% (166)
0.0% (2)
By Period
Hughes
Cates
P1
33.9%
0.0%
P2
34.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
29.7%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
0.0%