Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Cates 45.8% (-7.3%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 73.6%
Defensive zone
Cates 78.8%
Neutral zone
Cates 64.0%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Hughes
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
44.3% (271)
-8.7%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
77.8% (18)
-27.8%
On power play, Cates has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Hughes
Cates
Home
38.4% (198)
52.0% (148)
Away
35.3% (119)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Hughes
Cates
P1
44.3%
42.7%
P2
34.2%
42.9%
P3
34.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
40.4%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%