Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Cates 45.5% (-8.7%)
Offensive zone
Cates 50.6%
Defensive zone
Cates 63.1%
Neutral zone
Hughes 52.7%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Hughes
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
45.4% (712)
-8.6%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
42.2% (102)
-27.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
44.7% (47)
-11.4%
On power play, Cates has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Hughes shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Hughes
Cates
Home
35.1% (148)
46.3% (423)
Away
37.4% (131)
43.6% (438)
By Period
Hughes
Cates
P1
43.0%
46.3%
P2
28.7%
47.1%
P3
35.2%
42.1%
Final 5 min
28.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%