Scouting Report
Jack Hughes holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.8% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Buchnevich 45.3% (+1.3%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 53.2%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 54.3%
Neutral zone
Hughes 50.2%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Hughes
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
36.7% (30)
-2.2%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
28.6% (7)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
0.0% (2)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Hughes has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Hughes shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.1% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Hughes
Buchnevich
Home
32.6% (187)
31.3% (16)
Away
36.7% (166)
34.8% (23)
By Period
Hughes
Buchnevich
P1
33.9%
35.7%
P2
34.2%
33.3%
P3
36.5%
30.8%
Final 5 min
29.7%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
33.3%