Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (37.2% vs 37.4%). Hughes wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Buchnevich 41.5% (-0.2%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 72.2%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 73.7%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 57.1%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Hughes
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
37.6% (197)
-2.0%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
50.0% (6)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Buchnevich is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Hughes
Buchnevich
Home
38.4% (198)
43.0% (114)
Away
35.3% (119)
30.4% (92)
By Period
Hughes
Buchnevich
P1
44.3%
40.0%
P2
34.2%
35.7%
P3
34.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
40.4%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.4%