Scouting Report
Jack Hughes holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.4% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Buchnevich 36.3% (+5.4%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 65.1%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 74.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 52.0%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Hughes
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
28.6% (192)
+6.3%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
55.6% (9)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
30.8% (13)
+2.5%
On even strength, Hughes has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Hughes shoots left. Buchnevich is 28.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Hughes
Buchnevich
Home
37.4% (235)
30.4% (112)
Away
33.2% (229)
29.4% (102)
By Period
Hughes
Buchnevich
P1
37.1%
27.7%
P2
33.7%
33.3%
P3
34.8%
27.7%
Final 5 min
32.7%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
29.9%