Scouting Report
Pavel Buchnevich holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.9% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Buchnevich 42.1% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 53.2%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 53.6%
Neutral zone
Hughes 60.2%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Hughes
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
37.7% (154)
-0.9%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
42.9% (14)
-28.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
30.0% (10)
+3.3%
On power play, Buchnevich has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Hughes shoots left. Buchnevich is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Hughes
Buchnevich
Home
35.1% (148)
37.4% (91)
Away
37.4% (131)
37.9% (87)
By Period
Hughes
Buchnevich
P1
43.0%
38.9%
P2
28.7%
31.5%
P3
35.2%
42.0%
Final 5 min
28.6%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.6%