Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (37.6% vs 37.3%). Hughes wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Buchnevich 41.2% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 60.1%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 56.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 51.7%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Hughes
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
37.0% (211)
+0.9%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
50.0% (10)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
28.6% (7)
+7.8%
On power play, Buchnevich has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Hughes shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Hughes
Buchnevich
Home
36.6% (314)
35.6% (87)
Away
38.5% (353)
38.3% (141)
By Period
Hughes
Buchnevich
P1
36.4%
36.3%
P2
35.6%
37.6%
P3
41.8%
38.1%
Final 5 min
36.4%
36.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.3%