Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +20.5% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-20.5%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 68.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 87.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 53.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Hughes
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
56.1% (690)
-21.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
64.6% (96)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
45.9% (109)
-12.6%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Hughes shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Hughes
O'Reilly
Home
37.4% (235)
58.3% (408)
Away
33.2% (229)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Hughes
O'Reilly
P1
37.1%
57.7%
P2
33.7%
54.8%
P3
34.8%
55.2%
OT
100.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
32.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%