Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-16.7%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 57.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 69.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 70.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Hughes
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
55.0% (1,084)
-19.4%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
56.8% (303)
-6.8%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Hughes
O'Reilly
Home
38.4% (198)
54.8% (759)
Away
35.3% (119)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Hughes
O'Reilly
P1
44.3%
55.3%
P2
34.2%
51.9%
P3
34.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
40.4%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%