Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +19.2% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (-19.2%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 53.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 77.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 53.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Hughes
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
55.4% (826)
-18.6%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
57.9% (221)
-43.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.4% (129)
-17.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Hughes shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Hughes
O'Reilly
Home
35.1% (148)
55.8% (579)
Away
37.4% (131)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Hughes
O'Reilly
P1
43.0%
57.7%
P2
28.7%
54.8%
P3
35.2%
54.3%
Final 5 min
28.6%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%