Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +26.6% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 28.8% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 41.9% vs Tavares 59.8% (-26.6%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 79.3%
Defensive zone
McBain 60.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 66.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
McBain
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
37.2% (86)
60.9% (1,043)
-23.7%
Penalty Kill
17.6% (17)
47.6% (21)
-30.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. McBain is 28.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
McBain shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
McBain
Tavares
Home
33.8% (68)
63.5% (684)
Away
34.3% (35)
57.6% (658)
By Period
McBain
Tavares
P1
40.6%
60.3%
P2
40.5%
60.4%
P3
20.6%
60.1%
Final 5 min
35.7%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
34.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%