Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Tavares 57.7% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.9%
Defensive zone
McBain 76.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 56.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
McBain
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McBain
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
McBain
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
57.5% (914)
-12.2%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
60.5% (309)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
59.1% (22)
-21.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
McBain shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
McBain
Tavares
Home
45.5% (437)
61.0% (661)
Away
42.4% (403)
55.3% (584)
By Period
McBain
Tavares
P1
43.5%
58.6%
P2
44.0%
57.8%
P3
45.0%
58.4%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:35 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |