Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +19.0% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 28.8% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 41.9% vs Sturm 52.5% (-19.0%)
Offensive zone
McBain 65.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 66.7%
Neutral zone
Sturm 57.7%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
McBain
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
37.2% (86)
54.0% (480)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
17.6% (17)
50.0% (102)
-32.4%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. McBain is 28.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
McBain shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
McBain
Sturm
Home
33.8% (68)
54.0% (287)
Away
34.3% (35)
52.0% (302)
By Period
McBain
Sturm
P1
40.6%
53.5%
P2
40.5%
51.0%
P3
20.6%
55.1%
Final 5 min
35.7%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
34.0%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%