Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Sturm 53.6% (-3.5%)
Offensive zone
McBain 69.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 67.1%
Neutral zone
McBain 52.2%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
McBain
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
54.6% (271)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
54.4% (90)
-17.4%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
McBain shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
McBain
Sturm
Home
52.2% (289)
53.0% (168)
Away
50.0% (316)
56.0% (193)
By Period
McBain
Sturm
P1
52.6%
58.2%
P2
53.6%
53.2%
P3
47.1%
52.3%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%