Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Sturm 57.1% (-8.9%)
Offensive zone
McBain 72.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 61.2%
Neutral zone
Sturm 61.0%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
McBain
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
62.1% (356)
-10.9%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
75.0% (4)
-28.8%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
38.7% (62)
-11.4%
On power play, Sturm has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
McBain shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
McBain
Sturm
Home
53.6% (235)
61.8% (191)
Away
46.0% (224)
56.3% (231)
By Period
McBain
Sturm
P1
48.6%
58.0%
P2
50.9%
57.9%
P3
50.0%
60.6%
Final 5 min
55.1%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%