Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McBain wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 41.9% vs Hartman 45.3% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 57.0%
Defensive zone
McBain 70.0%
Neutral zone
McBain 50.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
McBain
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McBain
Hartman
Last 5: McBain 2-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
McBain
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
37.2% (86)
44.8% (936)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
17.6% (17)
33.3% (54)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McBain is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (44).
McBain shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
McBain
Hartman
Home
33.8% (68)
47.4% (568)
Away
34.3% (35)
42.4% (576)
By Period
McBain
Hartman
P1
40.6%
47.2%
P2
40.5%
43.4%
P3
20.6%
43.8%
Final 5 min
35.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
34.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:59 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:51 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Jack McBain |