Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 45.9% vs Hartman 47.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 63.4%
Defensive zone
Hartman 54.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 54.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
McBain
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McBain
Hartman
Last 5: McBain 3-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (568)
47.1% (649)
-0.8%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
47.1% (68)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (74)
45.2% (73)
-7.4%
On power play, Hartman has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McBain is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (209).
McBain shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
McBain
Hartman
Home
50.6% (330)
46.5% (361)
Away
39.7% (320)
47.3% (429)
By Period
McBain
Hartman
P1
45.4%
45.1%
P2
44.5%
44.4%
P3
45.7%
50.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 06:13 | Defensive | Jack McBain |