Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). McBain wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Hartman 45.3% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 13-13 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 60.8%
Defensive zone
McBain 59.2%
Neutral zone
McBain 50.6%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
McBain
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
13
(26 meetings)
13
13
McBain
Hartman
Last 10: McBain 5-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
4
6
McBain
Hartman
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
4
3
McBain
Hartman
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
5
4
McBain
Hartman
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (2,298)
45.2% (4,235)
+2.8%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
47.4% (443)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (308)
42.4% (262)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McBain is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (990).
McBain shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,559).
Home / Away
McBain
Hartman
Home
49.0% (1,359)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
44.0% (1,298)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
McBain
Hartman
P1
46.7%
46.0%
P2
47.5%
42.9%
P3
45.6%
46.8%
OT
37.5%
53.8%
Final 5 min
48.8%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:14 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 06:59 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 06:13 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 09:47 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 05:32 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 02:59 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |