Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McBain wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Hartman 44.0% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 68.3%
Defensive zone
McBain 66.9%
Neutral zone
McBain 54.4%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
McBain
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
McBain
Hartman
Last 9: McBain 5-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
McBain
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
McBain
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
4
1
McBain
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
42.6% (495)
+2.7%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
38.5% (26)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
48.8% (43)
-11.2%
On power play, McBain has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McBain is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
McBain shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
McBain
Hartman
Home
45.5% (437)
43.4% (288)
Away
42.4% (403)
42.4% (276)
By Period
McBain
Hartman
P1
43.5%
43.1%
P2
44.0%
43.4%
P3
45.0%
42.0%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 09:47 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 05:32 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 02:59 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 03:39 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |