Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McBain wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Hartman 45.5% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 50.8%
Defensive zone
Hartman 51.5%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
McBain
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McBain
Hartman
Last 6: McBain 3-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
McBain
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
44.8% (830)
+7.3%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
47.8% (92)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
37.5% (16)
-0.5%
On power play, McBain has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McBain is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McBain shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
McBain
Hartman
Home
52.2% (289)
45.0% (515)
Away
50.0% (316)
44.9% (423)
By Period
McBain
Hartman
P1
52.6%
46.5%
P2
53.6%
39.9%
P3
47.1%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:14 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 06:59 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |