Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Roslovic wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.5% vs Paul 53.4% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 57.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 86.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 85.4%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Roslovic
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Roslovic
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
0
Roslovic
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Roslovic
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (729)
53.8% (753)
-8.0%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
58.9% (90)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (55)
47.4% (78)
-9.2%
On power play, Paul has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Roslovic is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Roslovic shoots right. Paul is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Paul
Home
45.4% (447)
54.2% (450)
Away
44.6% (442)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Roslovic
Paul
P1
43.2%
58.2%
P2
44.7%
50.6%
P3
47.2%
52.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
45.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Nick Paul |