Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Roslovic wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 51.7% vs Paul 53.3% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 58.0%
Defensive zone
Paul 56.3%
Neutral zone
Paul 50.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Roslovic
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Roslovic
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Roslovic
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (204)
53.2% (327)
-0.7%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
61.4% (57)
-8.5%
On power play, Paul has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Roslovic is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (170).
Roslovic shoots right. Paul is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Paul
Home
49.6% (119)
54.6% (183)
Away
55.9% (102)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Roslovic
Paul
P1
53.2%
56.3%
P2
53.2%
54.8%
P3
51.9%
52.4%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.1%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
52.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 13:34 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |