Scouting Report
Jack Roslovic holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 53.2% vs Paul 50.0% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 59.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 70.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 56.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Roslovic
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Roslovic
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Roslovic
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Roslovic
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (299)
48.8% (666)
+6.4%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
53.8% (65)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
60.0% (55)
-60.0%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Roslovic is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (261).
Roslovic shoots right. Paul is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Paul
Home
54.0% (200)
49.7% (348)
Away
54.2% (155)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Roslovic
Paul
P1
57.0%
51.0%
P2
54.3%
47.4%
P3
50.9%
51.5%
Final 5 min
51.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
54.1%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 06:26 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Nick Paul |