Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Paul 52.2% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Roslovic leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 66.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 82.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 68.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Roslovic
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Roslovic
Paul
Last 10: Roslovic 4-6 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
8
0
Roslovic
Paul
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
7
Roslovic
Paul
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Roslovic
Paul
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (2,997)
52.5% (3,796)
-7.6%
Power Play
48.1% (339)
56.5% (480)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
46.7% (574)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Roslovic is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,376).
Roslovic shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Paul
Home
44.0% (1,737)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
45.8% (1,704)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Roslovic
Paul
P1
45.5%
53.9%
P2
44.6%
51.0%
P3
44.9%
52.0%
OT
31.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
44.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 13:34 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 06:26 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 04:14 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 16:54 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 11:42 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 05:25 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Nick Paul |