Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Roslovic wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 46.0% vs Paul 53.9% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 57.2%
Defensive zone
Paul 54.1%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 59.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Roslovic
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Roslovic
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Roslovic
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (106)
53.1% (710)
-8.8%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
57.3% (199)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
58.0% (69)
-43.7%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +43.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Roslovic is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Roslovic shoots right. Paul is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Paul
Home
36.9% (65)
56.0% (466)
Away
49.2% (61)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Roslovic
Paul
P1
32.1%
57.2%
P2
50.0%
54.9%
P3
46.2%
51.5%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
42.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 04:14 | Defensive | Nick Paul |