Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 49.6% vs Duchene 52.8% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 69.0%
Defensive zone
Schwartz 65.6%
Neutral zone
Schwartz 57.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Schwartz
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Schwartz
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Schwartz
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (32)
46.9% (162)
+3.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
73.2% (56)
-23.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
100.0% (2)
-100.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Schwartz is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Schwartz shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Duchene
Home
42.1% (19)
58.4% (125)
Away
56.3% (16)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Schwartz
Duchene
P1
47.1%
56.9%
P2
45.5%
52.5%
P3
40.0%
51.9%
OT
100.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
48.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |