Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.1% vs 56.5%). Schwartz wins 63.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 54.4% vs Duchene 55.6% (+0.6%)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 72.2%
Defensive zone
Duchene 75.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 58.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Schwartz
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (59)
56.5% (566)
-10.7%
Power Play
64.4% (101)
61.3% (62)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
22.2% (9)
-22.2%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Schwartz is 63.0% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Schwartz shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Duchene
Home
61.0% (82)
56.6% (318)
Away
53.2% (79)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Schwartz
Duchene
P1
58.6%
57.2%
P2
46.8%
55.1%
P3
64.2%
55.6%
OT
66.7%
81.3%
Final 5 min
64.1%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
57.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%