Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Schwartz wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 50.0% vs Duchene 52.1% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 64.5%
Defensive zone
Duchene 70.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 55.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Schwartz
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Schwartz
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Schwartz
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (39)
53.0% (723)
-6.8%
Power Play
55.2% (29)
49.5% (101)
+5.7%
On even strength, Duchene has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Schwartz is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (39).
Schwartz shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Duchene
Home
55.9% (34)
54.9% (408)
Away
44.1% (34)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Schwartz
Duchene
P1
52.9%
52.5%
P2
50.0%
51.7%
P3
47.6%
53.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:15 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |