Scouting Report
Jaden Schwartz holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Schwartz wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 52.9% vs Duchene 51.6% (+6.5%)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 55.2%
Defensive zone
Duchene 68.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 53.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Schwartz
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (38)
51.2% (324)
+9.3%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
60.4% (53)
-7.1%
On even strength, Schwartz has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Schwartz is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (31).
Schwartz shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Duchene
Home
71.4% (21)
51.6% (182)
Away
50.0% (32)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Schwartz
Duchene
P1
60.9%
49.6%
P2
69.2%
56.2%
P3
47.1%
48.6%
Final 5 min
76.9%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
58.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%