Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Schwartz wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 47.9% vs Duchene 52.1% (-6.4%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 54.6%
Defensive zone
Schwartz 53.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 53.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Schwartz
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (62)
53.9% (193)
-12.0%
Power Play
52.2% (90)
49.2% (65)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (5)
100.0% (1)
-100.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Schwartz is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (96).
Schwartz shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Duchene
Home
50.6% (79)
54.9% (113)
Away
42.3% (78)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Schwartz
Duchene
P1
36.2%
54.9%
P2
44.4%
52.7%
P3
60.9%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
32.6%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
46.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%