Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Guentzel 50.4% (-2.2%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 72.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 80.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 55.0%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Evans
Guentzel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
45.0% (20)
+6.3%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
75.0% (4)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
100.0% (1)
-57.0%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +57.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Guentzel is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (5).
Home / Away
Evans
Guentzel
Home
52.1% (503)
56.3% (16)
Away
47.0% (423)
44.4% (9)
By Period
Evans
Guentzel
P1
50.5%
20.0%
P2
47.7%
57.1%
P3
51.3%
80.0%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
52.0%