Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +26.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Guentzel 45.5% (+26.1%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 78.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 83.8%
Neutral zone
Evans 53.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Evans
Guentzel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
27.3% (22)
+27.1%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
0.0% (1)
+55.0%
On power play, Evans has a +55.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Guentzel is 11.1% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Evans
Guentzel
Home
53.7% (581)
33.3% (9)
Away
50.5% (556)
21.4% (14)
By Period
Evans
Guentzel
P1
54.6%
27.3%
P2
50.0%
16.7%
P3
52.3%
40.0%
OT
46.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
26.1%