Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Guentzel 50.0% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 59.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 86.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 62.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Evans
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Evans
Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Guentzel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
46.2% (13)
+8.3%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
100.0% (2)
-41.7%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
0.0% (1)
+43.9%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Guentzel is 28.6% vs right-shot opponents (7).
Home / Away
Evans
Guentzel
Home
49.4% (336)
75.0% (8)
Away
54.8% (314)
25.0% (8)
By Period
Evans
Guentzel
P1
55.8%
62.5%
P2
51.7%
50.0%
P3
48.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Jake Evans |