Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs McCann 46.3% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 79.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 75.2%
Neutral zone
McCann 54.7%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Evans
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Evans
McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
McCann
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
0
1
Evans
McCann
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
46.0% (428)
+5.3%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
39.3% (56)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
62.5% (8)
-19.5%
On penalty kill, McCann has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. McCann is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Evans
McCann
Home
52.1% (503)
45.1% (244)
Away
47.0% (423)
46.0% (248)
By Period
Evans
McCann
P1
50.5%
42.5%
P2
47.7%
45.9%
P3
51.3%
47.8%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
49.8%
McCann
46.0%▲
44.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 04:44 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:47 | Offensive | Jared McCann |