Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs McCann 43.0% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 55.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 92.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 81.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Evans
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Evans
McCann
Last 10: Evans 6-4 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
3
4
Evans
McCann
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
3
1
Evans
McCann
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
3
1
Evans
McCann
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
43.1% (3,178)
+10.7%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
40.0% (260)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
42.2% (173)
+4.9%
On power play, Evans has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. McCann is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,310).
Home / Away
Evans
McCann
Home
53.4% (2,593)
43.1% (1,758)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
42.5% (1,855)
By Period
Evans
McCann
P1
54.0%
44.4%
P2
50.9%
41.7%
P3
52.0%
42.7%
OT
46.5%
36.4%
Final 5 min
50.4%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 14:45 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 13:27 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:23 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 13:31 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 09:32 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 07:49 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 10:12 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 04:44 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:47 | Offensive | Jared McCann |