Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs McCann 48.4% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 61.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 86.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 63.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Evans
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Evans
McCann
Last 6: Evans 4-2 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
1
2
Evans
McCann
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
3
0
Evans
McCann
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
48.8% (260)
+5.6%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
37.0% (27)
+18.0%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
50.0% (20)
-3.9%
On power play, Evans has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. McCann is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Evans
McCann
Home
53.7% (581)
51.0% (143)
Away
50.5% (556)
45.1% (164)
By Period
Evans
McCann
P1
54.6%
53.6%
P2
50.0%
52.0%
P3
52.3%
37.6%
OT
46.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 13:31 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 09:32 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 07:49 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 10:12 | Offensive | Jake Evans |