Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — McCann shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs McCann 46.2% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 62.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 87.1%
Neutral zone
Evans 64.0%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Evans
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Evans
McCann
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
McCann
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
0
1
Evans
McCann
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
48.4% (188)
+6.0%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
33.3% (15)
+33.4%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
31.7% (41)
+16.4%
On power play, Evans has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. McCann is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Evans
McCann
Home
55.1% (541)
52.8% (125)
Away
50.8% (581)
36.1% (119)
By Period
Evans
McCann
P1
51.8%
37.7%
P2
53.3%
50.5%
P3
53.8%
45.2%
OT
38.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 14:45 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 13:27 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:23 | Defensive | Jake Evans |