Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — McCann shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 53.9% vs McCann 49.6% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 84.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 86.6%
Neutral zone
McCann 54.6%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 84.6%
15.4%
84.6%
Evans
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Evans
McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
0
1
Evans
McCann
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (349)
40.0% (15)
+13.6%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
100.0% (2)
-30.0%
On power play, McCann has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Evans is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Evans shoots right. McCann is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (7).
Home / Away
Evans
McCann
Home
54.1% (290)
50.0% (12)
Away
55.2% (230)
40.0% (5)
By Period
Evans
McCann
P1
60.1%
44.4%
P2
53.5%
33.3%
P3
50.3%
75.0%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
54.6%
McCann
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Jared McCann |