Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — McCann shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.4% vs McCann 50.0% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 83.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 85.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 50.3%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 83.2%
16.8%
83.2%
Evans
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Evans
McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
0
1
Evans
McCann
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (477)
44.4% (18)
+11.8%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
100.0% (2)
-30.0%
On power play, McCann has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Evans shoots right. McCann is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (7).
Home / Away
Evans
McCann
Home
55.3% (374)
53.8% (13)
Away
57.1% (317)
42.9% (7)
By Period
Evans
McCann
P1
58.5%
50.0%
P2
55.7%
33.3%
P3
53.9%
75.0%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Jared McCann |