Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Skinner 44.7% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 89.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 94.8%
Neutral zone
Evans 67.1%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Evans
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Evans
Skinner
Last 9: Evans 5-4 Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
0
4
Evans
Skinner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
5
0
Evans
Skinner
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
42.3% (1,317)
+11.5%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
52.0% (404)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
33.3% (15)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Skinner is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Evans
Skinner
Home
53.4% (2,593)
48.2% (949)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
39.9% (791)
By Period
Evans
Skinner
P1
54.0%
41.6%
P2
50.9%
46.0%
P3
52.0%
46.4%
OT
46.5%
23.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 22, 2022 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 22, 2022 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 22, 2022 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 02:58 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |