Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +28.9% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Skinner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.4% vs Skinner 47.7% (+28.9%)
Offensive zone
Skinner 71.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 81.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 55.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Evans
Skinner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (477)
20.0% (10)
+36.2%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
100.0% (1)
-30.0%
On even strength, Evans has a +36.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Evans shoots right. Skinner is 25.0% vs right-shot opponents (4).
Home / Away
Evans
Skinner
Home
55.3% (374)
28.6% (7)
Away
57.1% (317)
25.0% (4)
By Period
Evans
Skinner
P1
58.5%
0.0%
P2
55.7%
66.7%
P3
53.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.3%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
27.3%