Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Skinner 45.5% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 77.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 95.1%
Neutral zone
Evans 65.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 95.1%
95.1%
4.9%
Evans
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Evans
Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Skinner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
41.0% (105)
+13.4%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
50.0% (18)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
0.0% (1)
+46.1%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +46.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Skinner is 27.9% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Evans
Skinner
Home
53.7% (581)
43.8% (64)
Away
50.5% (556)
40.0% (60)
By Period
Evans
Skinner
P1
54.6%
38.6%
P2
50.0%
40.5%
P3
52.3%
47.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Jake Evans |