Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Skinner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Skinner 50.3% (+1.7%)
Offensive zone
Skinner 77.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 84.6%
Neutral zone
Evans 53.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Evans
Skinner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
51.5% (33)
+2.9%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
50.0% (10)
+16.7%
On power play, Evans has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. Skinner is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (16).
Home / Away
Evans
Skinner
Home
55.1% (541)
57.1% (21)
Away
50.8% (581)
45.5% (22)
By Period
Evans
Skinner
P1
51.8%
50.0%
P2
53.3%
57.1%
P3
53.8%
45.5%
Final 5 min
51.1%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.2%